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Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts

May 14, 2020

#Bitcoin Third #Halving Embedded Message #QEInfinity

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Check it out on MasterTech

April 28, 2016

Which are The Hottest #FinTech #VC's in Europe Backing the Next Big Breakthrough

The Hottest FinTech Investors in Europe to Back the Next Big Breakthrough in FinTech


These are the main #FinTech investors in Europe.  

The Hottest FinTech Investors in Europe to Back the Next Big Breakthrough in FinTech

Big breaks across industries don’t usually happen without VCs backing them. Success stories in most cases have co-authors and in 2016, VCs are the ones to provide a financial fuel to bright entrepreneurs and ideas with a high disruptive potential.
While some VCs are operating across regions, some have a particular geographical focus. Since Europe is one of the world’s hubs of innovation, the UK and other countries in Europe and in the Nordic region have their dedicated investors. The US is also rich on FinTech-focused VCs that have a keen interest in discovering the next big thing in FinTech. 
Aside from VCs, there are also FinTech accelerators accountable for success stories, both in the US and in Europe.
This time, let’s look at some of the hottest FinTech investors in Europe that also invest in other regions along with European venture allocations.

BBVA Ventures

Description: BBVA Ventures provides funding and expertise to promising technology companies disrupting financial services. The firm works with the entrepreneurs and co-investors in the US and EU, thereby becoming a long-term partner in their success.
Stage/size of investments: Early-stage venture to later-stage venture investments
Segments: FinTech, financial services
Portfolio of payments companies: Prosper, DocuSign, Simple, Radius, Coinbase, SumUp, Personal Capital, Ribbit Capital

Santander InnoVentures

Description: The company launched its $100-million fund in July 2014 to get closer to the wave of disruptive innovation in the FinTech space. Santander InnoVentures aims to support the digital revolution to make sure its customers around the world benefit from the latest know-how and innovations across the banking group’s geographies.
Stage/size of investments: Small companies and startups
Segments: FinTech exclusive
Portfolio: iZettle, MyCheck, Ripple, Kabbage, Cyanogen

Anthemis Group

Description: Anthemis Group is the venture investment and advisory firm at the center of a vibrant ecosystem of startups and financial institutions dedicated to reinventing financial services for the digital world. The firm boasts of being committed investors, thoughtful advisors, active conveners and dedicated problem solvers who share a passion for technology and a belief in the transformative power of digital financial services.
Stage/size of investments: Seed, early-stage ventures and later-stage venture investments
Segments: Retail banking & consumer finance, business & corporate banking, payments, wealth & asset management, capital markets & trading, insurance & risk management, data, technology & infrastructure
Portfolio of payments companies: Moven, Simple, Vericash, Fidor Bank

Index Ventures

Description: Index Ventures backs the best and most ambitious entrepreneurs and help them make their ideas real and lasting. The entrepreneurs it teams up with were born to build their businesses—it is their life’s mission. Working side-by-side with these visionaries makes Index Ventures incredibly optimistic about the future. The transformative companies they’re building, include Dropbox, Etsy, Sonos, SoundCloud, Flipboard, King, BlaBlaCar, Squarespace, Just Eat, Lookout, Hortonworks, Nasty Gal, Pure Storage, Supercell, Criteo, Funding Circle and many others.
Stage/size of investments: Index invests in various multiple stages including seed, early-stage venture, later-stage venture and private equity investments.
Segments: Information technology, life sciences
Portfolio of payment companies: iZettle, Clinkle, TransferWise, Funding Circle, Xapo, Swipely, BitPay, iZettle, CrowdRise, Funding Circle

AXA Strategic Ventures

Description: AXA Strategic Ventures’ commitment to founders and teams is to enhance value and maximize impact, therefore enabling you to engage individuals, customers and businesses. The firm maintains long-term, strategic focus. In other words, AXA Strategic Ventures want to help you become real players in the sharing economy—when you succeed, they succeed.
Stage/size of investments: All stages
Segments: Alternative business models, big data, climate change, financial inclusion and health
Portfolio: FundShop, WIDMEE, FLYR, Policy Genius

February 08, 2016

Will Artificial Intelligence have an Uber Effect on Finance? - bobsguide.com

Yea, but "On the other hand, the front office is an area where Sutton believed that human interaction is necessary as finance is an industry that is very relationship centric as people leverage financial advisors and wealth managers to provide customised advice."

This from Bobsguide.com 

Will Artificial Intelligence have an Uber Effect on Finance?

Following the recent breakthrough of artificial intelligence (AI), many have been wondering how this form of technology can be implemented in the financial services. As newer products emerge, it questions how popular the traditional legacy financial institutions will remain or perhaps, fintech startups will gain an increased number of customers, in a similar way to how Uber affected the taxi industry. bobsguide spoke to Josh Sutton, global head of artificial intelligence practice at technology company Sapient about how AI is set to transform business and finance, alongside how banks are already implementing a technology that has been around for 30+ years, but its true potential hasn't been seen until now.
According to CNBC, nearly $700 million has been invested in artificial intelligence over the past two years and Sutton explored how it is important to work with the C-suite of a company to give them a roadmap of the capabilities AI has as it provides a way to increase revenue, reduce cost and minimise risk. "Increased investment in AI has been over 30 years coming and technology has caught up to the conceptual promise of what could be done. If you look at all the products deployed by machine learning today, these are not new concepts by any means, but the processing power of the machines has finally reached a point where it is cost effective and time effective enough to generate real results from that information," Sutton highlighted.
Sutton continued to explain how AI has been extensively used by government and academic institutions, but banks have started to use it in order to monitor their risk related to illegal insider trading activities. A large global bank has already implemented AI instead of using the historical approach of having a team review trade information and police it in a human manner, Sutton revealed. "The platform that they built combined big data, machine learning and causal intelligence and that aggregates all the trade data and communication data from various traders and people they interact with across the various divisions."
Alongside this, artificial intelligence will benefit different parts of an organisation in different ways. Sutton said that leveraging AI would "systematically accelerate certain portions of the core middle and back offices to automate everything from trade processing through to KYC and AML." This ties into the long standing debate that has been occurring over the past year about whether human workers will be needed if technology becomes increasingly sophisticated. The stage that we are at the moment is that there needs to be a mixture of tasks completed by people and the rest by machine learning, but Sutton explored how the number of people required to fulfil the function of the middle and back office will eliminate the need for people.
"I think there will always be a need for people to identify and review the high priority activities but I do think that a substantial amount of work that is done today that is relatively trainable can be replaced via technology over the coming decade," Sutton said. On the other hand, the front office is an area where Sutton believed that human interaction is necessary as finance is an industry that is very relationship centric as people leverage financial advisors and wealth managers to provide customised advice. "I do believe that artificial intelligence will enable financial advisors to be much more effective in their interactions so, if you look at the job of a financial advisor, a significant portion of their time goes to understanding their individual customers, what is going on in their lives and what advice they can provide."
"What you'll see in the traditional wealth group, financial advisors will be able to take on a greater number of clients and the entire industry will expand as it becomes a cost effective tool that people can have that they haven't traditionally. If you look at a good disruptive example, like Uber, the model has changed the way that the industry works and it has dramatically increased the amount of money that gets spent." Sutton predicts that this "Uber Effect" will occur with artificial intelligence and the financial industry, especially in the retail banking industry where there will be a blur between retail banks and wealth managers.
"I think what you're starting to see is a lot of fintech players trying to nibble around the edges of that," Sutton highlighted as he went on to say that artificial intelligence will be ubiquitous in our day to day life, so much so that you are not even aware that you are using AI. However, to get to this point, there are many obstacles that must be overcome, one which concerns how the financial services industry are focusing on big data when it comes to implementing AI, rather than seeing it as a business tool.
"Artificial intelligence is not a technology solution, it is a business solution."

June 10, 2015

Wall St. Courts #StartUps It Once May Have Ignored #FinTech @NYTimes


Wall St. Courts Start-Ups It Once May Have Ignored

On the first day of a hackathon at the Manhattan headquarters of Goldman Sachs, participants from the Wall Street bank showed up in suits. The programmers from Kensho, a start-up that had recently gotten money from Goldman, were there in jeans and ripped shirts.

The next day, many of the Goldman employees took off their jackets and ties. And the day after that, many of the Goldman employees were wearing the gray hoodies and Beats headphones that had been made especially for the event. (This being Goldman Sachs, the headphones were custom engraved — “GS Kensho Hackathon 2015” — to commemorate the occasion.)

The evolution of the dress code during the hackathon was one indication of the changing relationship between Wall Street banks like Goldman and start-ups like Kensho, a data analytics company, which received a $15 million investment late last year in a financing round led by Goldman.

In the past, Goldman and its big competitors kept their distance from start-ups like Kensho that were trying to disrupt the Wall Street business model — especially start-ups as young as Kensho, which was founded in 2013. Goldman and many other Wall Street banks have historically done most of their significant technological developments in-house, viewing their business as the product of decades of experience.




Wall St. Courts Start-Ups It Once May Have Ignored - NYTimes.com






May 20, 2011

Google Wants to Become Your Personal Finance Advisor

Google Wants to Become Your Personal Finance Advisor:


In its attempt to break into the personal finance market, Google has launched a new tool for finding and comparing financial products.

At its core, Google Advisor is a personal finance comparison tool. It helps you check the rates for mortgages, credit cards, CDs, checking accounts and savings accounts by providing a list of financial instruments that meet your search criteria. For mortgages, Google provides data such as APR, monthly payment, fees and contact details. If you’re looking for a credit card, the search giant provides data on rewards, card type, purchase APR and the annual fee.

Google Advisor isn’t a search engine, though. It’s really a comparison engine with a lot of filters. If you need to find a 30-year fixed mortgage for a $650,000 home in Alameda County with a 660 credit rating, you will probably find it. Google advisor also features certain offers based on low APRs or the interest rate.

At the moment, mortgages are treated differently than the other financial categories. While Google doesn’t get paid if you find a credit card, CD, checking account or savings account through the search giant, it does make money whenever you contact a mortgage lender. You will noticed that mortgages have “sponsored results” while other financial instruments simply have “matching results.” Sponsored results could to other financial products expand over time.

Google has long wanted to break into personal finance, a sector where it could potentially make billions in advertising and referral fees. In March, Google acquired UK price comparison website BeatThatQuote for $61.5 million. There are a lot of similarities to BeatThatQuote and Google’s new finance service, and that probably wasn’t an accident. This is likely just the beginning of a series of tools Google will release to conquer the personal finance arena.

What do you think of Google Advisor? Do you trust Google to get you the best financial data? Let us know what you think in the comments.




More About: finance, Financial Advisor, Google, Google Advisor
For more Business & Marketing coverage:

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April 14, 2011

Dot-Com Veterans reemerge



Scarred by the Dot-Com Bust, Reinvented for Social Media

Thomas WeiselNoah Berger/Bloomberg NewsBeen there: Thomas Weisel scouted technology start-ups in the 1990s and is doing so again.
SAN FRANCISCO — Thomas Weisel doesn't have much personal experience with social media. He has never opened a Facebook or Twitter account, and he has resisted buying an iPhone.
But Mr. Weisel knows a lot about overheated markets. His firm, Thomas Weisel Partners Group, was a dominant force in taking technology companies public during the dot-com boom and was hobbled when that bubble burst in 2000.
Today, Mr. Weisel, 70, is assessing the industry landscape from his corner office at the Stifel Financial Corporation, the brokerage firm that bought his struggling company in April 2010. Although the current frenzy raises concerns, he says he thinks it is unfair to compare Internet stocks during the late 1990s to social media companies now.
"In a sentence, the big difference is these companies, in many cases, are enormously profitable out of the gate," he said.
Mr. Weisel, who as co-chairman of Stifel's board is still out hustling banking business, is among the many heavyweights from the dot-com days who are reinventing themselves in the era of social media.
Mary Meeker, the research analyst who was called the Queen of the Internet, recently joined theventure capital giant Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers. Frank Quattrone, the Wall Street investment banker who helped take Amazon.com public in 1997, now has his own boutique advisory group working with technology start-ups and stalwarts, including National Semiconductor on its recent deal with Texas Instruments. Sandy Robertson, previously a founder of Robertson Stephens, a technology banking firm, joined Francisco Partners, a private equity shop that focuses on technology.
Lise Buyer, a former Credit Suisse First Boston analyst who currently advises companies on potential public offerings at her firm, Class V Group, jokes that she is "running into everyone" she knew from the go-go period of the late 1990s.
"Social media is a new frontier," Mr. Robertson said.These veterans offer a unique perspective, having survived the previous technology craze and now playing a role in the current one.
Mr. Weisel, a Rochester, Minn., native who was once a competitive speed skater, rose to fame during the technology boom. In the early 1990s, he ran Montgomery Securities, one of the boutique banks known as the Four Horsemen that dominated technology underwriting during the decade. During his tenure, Mr. Weisel took Yahoo public and helped orchestrate StrataCom's sale to Cisco for $4.7 billion, at the time the largest technology acquisition that year.
But like many at the time, Mr. Weisel was swept up in the frenzy. In an interview in January 2000, he declared the tech boom was "the Super Bowl of all Super Bowls." Just a couple months later, the bubble burst — a crushing blow to his firm.After NationsBank bought Montgomery in 1997, he struck out on his own, starting Thomas Weisel Partners. He quickly landed a number of big assignments, including advising Yahoo on its acquisition of GeoCities.
In the aftermath, Mr. Weisel tried to diversify his firm away from technology, which accounted for more than 80 percent of revenue. He expanded into health care and consumer products. To raise capital, he took Thomas Weisel public in 2006.
But the firm never really recovered from the dot-com bust, and in 2010, it was sold to Stifel Financial.
His experience over the last decade has influenced his view. While he remains bullish on technology broadly, he says social media stocks are far from a slam dunk.
"They have great potential, but they have to continue to produce," Mr. Weisel said.
After years of managing, Mr. Weisel is happy to play the role of sage counsel. He regularly meets with technology entrepreneurs and executives, to help Stifel Financial land deals.
The notable difference this time is the underlying business models of many companies, he says. Technology costs are minimal, which allows social networking sites to be profitable almost immediately. During the dot-com boom, companies burned through cash and took years to turn a profit — if they did at all.
"For the most part, these are real companies with real revenue and are generating real cash flow," he said.
Even so, Mr. Weisel says it is critical for companies like Groupon, which is said to be valued at roughly $25 billion, to maintain their leadership position.
"First-mover advantage is key," Mr. Weisel said. "If they don't continue to produce, someone next door will come in and build a better mouse trap."
He points to MySpace as a cautionary tale. In 2006, it was the top social networking site, with users topping 50 million that year, according to the research firm comScore. But it has steadily ceded ground since then to Facebook, which claims 150.7 million users today versus 37.7 million for MySpace. Its current owner, the News Corporation, recently put MySpace on the auction block.
Mr. Weisel is also watching valuations. Companies like Facebook, which is worth an estimated $50 billion, may not be able to justify such numbers unless their strategies evolve and they find new sources of profit.
"Right now, these business models are typically brand new and not fully vetted," Mr. Weisel said. "They have to figure how to continue to monetize the traffic they are getting or valuations will fall off."

The Barons of Two Booms

Other major Wall Street players from the dot-com bubble have reinvented themselves.
Sandy Robertson
Sandy Robertson
THEN: A founder of the boutique bank Robertson Stephens, he proclaimed in 1999 that tech companies were the most expensive stocks ever.
NOW: While he wonders if sites like Facebook are the modern equivalent of the defunct citizens' band radio, Mr. Robertson, an executive at the private equity firm Francisco Partners and a director at the software company Salesforce.com, sees great potential.
Mary Meeker
Mary Meeker
THEN: As an analyst for the investment bank Morgan Stanley, Ms. Meeker was referred to as the Queen of the Internet for her bullish investment calls on technology companies like Amazon.com and eBay.
NOW: Ms. Meeker left her perch at Morgan Stanley in late 2010 to join Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers, the venture capital firm based in San Francisco. An investor in the start-ups Groupon and Zynga, the firm recently introduced a $250 million social media fund.
Henry Blodget
Henry Blodget
THEN: Once a high-flying technology analyst at Merrill Lynch whose stock recommendations often moved the market, Mr. Blodget was accused by regulators of issuing positive ratings on stocks in public while deriding them in private e-mails. As part of a settlement, he was barred from the securities industry.
NOW: Mr. Blodget is currently the editor and chief executive of The Business Insider, a gossipy news site that covers Wall Street. He has more than 28,000 followers on Twitter.


Sent from a wireless device.

February 20, 2011

New Hacking Tools Pose Bigger Threats to Wi-Fi Users - NYTimes.com

New Hacking Tools Pose Bigger Threats to Wi-Fi Users

 

February 16, 2011
You may think the only people capable of snooping on your Internet activity are government intelligence agents or possibly a talented teenage hacker holed up in his parents’ basement. But some simple software lets just about anyone sitting next to you at your local coffee shop watch you browse the Web and even assume your identity online.
“Like it or not, we are now living in a cyberpunk novel,” said Darren Kitchen, a systems administrator for an aerospace company in Richmond, Calif., and the host of Hak5, a video podcast about computer hacking and security. “When people find out how trivial and easy it is to see and even modify what you do online, they are shocked.”
Until recently, only determined and knowledgeable hackers with fancy tools and lots of time on their hands could spy while you used your laptop or smartphone at Wi-Fi hot spots. But a free program called Firesheep, released in October, has made it simple to see what other users of an unsecured Wi-Fi network are doing and then log on as them at the sites they visited.
Without issuing any warnings of the possible threat, Web site administrators have since been scrambling to provide added protections.
“I released Firesheep to show that a core and widespread issue in Web site security is being ignored,” said Eric Butler, a freelance software developer in Seattle who created the program. “It points out the lack of end-to-end encryption.”
What he means is that while the password you initially enter on Web sites like Facebook, Twitter, Flickr, Amazon, eBay and The New York Times is encrypted, the Web browser’s cookie, a bit of code that that identifies your computer, your settings on the site or other private information, is often not encrypted. Firesheep grabs that cookie, allowing nosy or malicious users to, in essence, be you on the site and have full access to your account.
More than a million people have downloaded the program in the last three months (including this reporter, who is not exactly a computer genius). And it is easy to use.
The only sites that are safe from snoopers are those that employ the cryptographic protocol transport layer security or its predecessor, secure sockets layer, throughout your session. PayPal and many banks do this, but a startling number of sites that people trust to safeguard their privacy do not. You know you are shielded from prying eyes if a little lock appears in the corner of your browser or the Web address starts with “https” rather than “http.”
“The usual reason Web sites give for not encrypting all communication is that it will slow down the site and would be a huge engineering expense,” said Chris Palmer, technology director at the Electronic Frontier Foundation, an electronic rights advocacy group based in San Francisco. “Yes, there are operational hurdles, but they are solvable.”
Indeed, Gmail made end-to-end encryption its default mode in January 2010. Facebook began to offer the same protection as an opt-in security feature last month, though it is so far available only to a small percentage of users and has limitations. For example, it doesn’t work with many third-party applications.
“It’s worth noting that Facebook took this step, but it’s too early to congratulate them,” said Mr. Butler, who is frustrated that “https” is not the site’s default setting. “Most people aren’t going to know about it or won’t think it’s important or won’t want to use it when they find out that it disables major applications.”
Joe Sullivan, chief security officer at Facebook, said the company was engaged in a “deliberative rollout process,” to access and address any unforeseen difficulties. “We hope to have it available for all users in the next several weeks,” he said, adding that the company was also working to address problems with third-party applications and to make “https” the default setting.
Many Web sites offer some support for encryption via “https,” but they make it difficult to use. To address these problems, the Electronic Frontier Foundation in collaboration with the Tor Project, another group concerned with Internet privacy, released in June an add-on to the browser Firefox, called Https Everywhere. The extension, which can be downloaded at eff.org/https-everywhere, makes “https” the stubbornly unchangeable default on all sites that support it.
Since not all Web sites have “https” capability, Bill Pennington, chief strategy officer with the Web site risk management firm WhiteHat Security in Santa Clara, Calif., said: “I tell people that if you’re doing things with sensitive data, don’t do it at a Wi-Fi hot spot. Do it at home.”
But home wireless networks may not be all that safe either, because of free and widely available Wi-Fi cracking programs like Gerix WiFi Cracker, Aircrack-ng and Wifite. The programs work by faking legitimate user activity to collect a series of so-called weak keys or clues to the password. The process is wholly automated, said Mr. Kitchen at Hak5, allowing even techno-ignoramuses to recover a wireless router’s password in a matter of seconds. “I’ve yet to find a WEP-protected network not susceptible to this kind of attack,” Mr. Kitchen said.
A WEP-encrypted password (for wired equivalent privacy) is not as strong as a WPA (or Wi-Fi protected access) password, so it’s best to use a WPA password instead. Even so, hackers can use the same free software programs to get on WPA password-protected networks as well. It just takes much longer (think weeks) and more computer expertise.
Using such programs along with high-powered Wi-Fi antennas that cost less than $90, hackers can pull in signals from home networks two to three miles away. There are also some computerized cracking devices with built-in antennas on the market, like WifiRobin ($156). But experts said they were not as fast or effective as the latest free cracking programs, because the devices worked only on WEP-protected networks.
To protect yourself, changing the Service Set Identifier or SSID of your wireless network from the default name of your router (like Linksys or Netgear) to something less predictable helps, as does choosing a lengthy and complicated alphanumeric password.
Setting up a virtual private network, or V.P.N., which encrypts all communications you transmit wirelessly whether on your home network or at a hot spot, is even more secure. The data looks like gibberish to a snooper as it travels from your computer to a secure server before it is blasted onto the Internet.
Popular V.P.N. providers include VyperVPN, HotSpotVPN and LogMeIn Hamachi. Some are free; others are as much as $18 a month, depending on how much data is encrypted. Free versions tend to encrypt only Web activity and not e-mail exchanges.
However, Mr. Palmer at the Electronic Frontier Foundation blames poorly designed Web sites, not vulnerable Wi-Fi connections, for security lapses. “Many popular sites were not designed for security from the beginning, and now we are suffering the consequences,” he said. “People need to demand ‘https’ so Web sites will do the painful integration work that needs to be done.”

New Hacking Tools Pose Bigger Threats to Wi-Fi Users - NYTimes.com: "

iStockphoto
By KATE MURPHY
Published: February 16, 2011

- Sent using Google Toolbar"

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February 06, 2011

Let the CyberWars begin... Exchanges on high alert after hacker attack - FT


Let the CyberWars begin...


Exchanges on high alert after hacker attack - FT


Nasdaq OMX, the global exchange operator said on Saturday that it had been targeted by hackers. There was a breach but that “at no point” were its trading platforms compromised.
On Saturday, the Wall Street Journal reported that hackers had “repeatedly” penetrated Nasdaq’s systems, and that US officials were investigating the attack.
More recently the operators of Europe’s carbon emissions trading markets suspended business in their spot emissions contracts after the European Union said its carbon trading platform had come under attack from cyber-thieves.

Nasdaq targeted by hackers

By Telis Demos in New York and Joseph Menn in San Francisco
Published: February 5 2011 23:27 | Last updated: February 5 2011 23:27
Nasdaq OMX, the global exchange operator said on Saturday that it had been targeted by hackers. There was a breach but that “at no point” were its trading platforms compromised.
On Saturday, the Wall Street Journal reported that hackers had “repeatedly” penetrated Nasdaq’s systems, and that US officials were investigating the attack.
Nasdaq confirmed that “suspicious files” were detected on Directors Desk, a web application for companies to share documents remotely that is unrelated to its trading systems.
It also said that the US Department of Justice had requested that it not tell customers about the investigation until February 14.
The files were detected late last year, and Nasdaq says it immediately contacted forensic firms and US law enforcement agencies. The files were deleted and Nasdaq says there is “no evidence” that information on Directors Desk was accessed by hackers.
The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s New York cybercrime unit, along with the US Department of Justice’s Southern District of New York is investigating the attack. Nasdaq said it is co-operating with officials on an ongoing inquiry.
Neither agency was available for comment.
Cybercrime against exchanges is a significant concern for government officials, who fear that a significant breach could spark a financial panic.
Nasdaq and other exchanges say their systems are frequently targeted, but have reported no major breaches. Last year, the London Stock Exchange investigated but dismissed the possibility that sabotage was at fault for a trading halt, ultimately blaming “human error”.
More recently the operators of Europe’s carbon emissions trading markets suspended business in their spot emissions contracts after the European Union said its carbon trading platform had come under attack from cyber-thieves.

Read the rest of the article here.

August 31, 2010

Research in Motion Continues Its Inevitable Downward Descent In Both Equity Value and Market Share | zero hedge

RIM = RIP ?

Sounds like TAPS in the background....

Between the pressure on the corporate side of the business from governments who want access to all the data passing through the blackberries in their countries, and the real risk of migration by consumers to the iPhone and Android OS, the future doesn't look too bright RIM...

see the article below from zerohedge.com


As Research in Motion Continues Its Inevitable Downward Descent In Both Equity Value and Market Share, Investors Should Tweak Their Assumptions Accordingly


Following up on my Research in Motion commentary in , I’d like to comment on potential future paths for the company. From what I see from their public announcements, I remain as unimpressed now as I was just before (After Getting a Glimpse of the New Windows Phone 7 Functionality, RIMM is Looking More Like a Short Play) and after (RIM Smart Phone Market Share, RIP?) the OS6/Torch launch. The tricky part is that RIMM is now starting to look rather inexpensive relative to consensus earnings and historically projected growth rates. This is where a little strategic foresight comes into play. I have made available for download (for all paying subscribers) the Mobile Operating System Market Share Model which illustrates, on a very granular level, the market share movements (gains and losses) of the major mobile OS providers.
Research in Motions recent equity share decline stems not only from market share loss, but from the apparent lack of a clear cut and believable plan to stem that market share loss.
Thus the downloadable OS model design is to congeal data garnered from Gartner, Bloomberg, Neilsen, Canalys and other sources in order to realistically track movement in the mobile OS space. Since this model actually deserves a post of its own, I will simply pull out some pertinent charts that pertain to RIMM.
Research in Motion, is still currently the market leader in terms of share, but is losing both demonstrably and rapidly in new users. As a matter of fact, if the recent historical trends persist, this is the last quarter that RIM will be able to claim the top of the market title as Android looks well situated to claim that crown.
As can be seen from this chart, Android is just about there. Apple will probably show better numbers in Q3 with additional evidence of iPhone 4 adoption as well.
We, at BoomBustBlog actually believe that RIM is poised to lose market share (particularly the consumer market where it enterprise stickiness can’t come into play) quite quickly and radically due to dissatisfaction among its user base combined with technically far superior handsets in the iPhone and Android camps.
So, although RIM is looking quite cheap now, it is quite possible for it to look much cheaper. The question is how does this market share loss factor into its equity valuation. That is why I have supplied our Professional and Institutional subscribers with the plug and play File Icon RIMM Multivariate Valuation Model. By plugging
Additional writings on Research in Motion:


_______________________________________
Check it out on The MasterTech Blog

August 27, 2010

The MasterFeeds: Special report: World's workshop heads to inland China | Reuters

The MasterFeeds: Special report: World's workshop heads to inland China | Reuters

Special report: World's workshop heads to inland China

Photo
Wed, Aug 25 2010
By James Pomfret
ZHENGZHOU, China (Reuters) - In a vast muddy cornfield scarred with the tracks of heavy vehicles, two young engineers pore over a construction blueprint showing a grid of 100 rectangular factory blocks.
Here on the outskirts of Zhengzhou, the provincial capital of Henan in China's interior, Foxconn, the largest company and exporter in "the workshop of the world" has staked its future on a mammoth new industrial complex.
New powerlines are being erected and roads built to the site under the watchful eye of local farmers who daydream about the entrepreneurial opportunities that up to 200,000 new workers in the area might present.
Taiwan-based Foxconn Technology Group, which includes its flagship Hon Hai Precision Industry (2317.TW: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), makes gadgets for a constellation of global brands including Apple APPL.O, Dell (DELL.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Nokia and Hewlett Packard (HPQ.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz).
Most of that production comes from its plants in Shenzhen, in the Pearl River Delta area, one of the three major Chinese coastal manufacturing hubs, along with the Yangtze River area around Shanghai and Bohai Bay north of Beijing.
With this leap into Henan province, 1,600 km (1,000 miles) from Shenzhen, Foxconn is expanding aggressively inland, where wages are lower and workers more plentiful, keeping mostly higher-value, engineering, and R&D work in China's coastal areas. It will have as many as 1.3 million workers in China by the end of 2011, up from 920,000 now, company officials say.
Foxconn is by no means alone. Intel (INTC.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), the world's biggest chip maker, opened a $600 million plant this year in Chengdu and Hewlett-Packard built a laptop factory in Chongqing, both cities in the western province of Sichuan.
Cheaper labor is not the only attraction. The worker has become the consumer in China, with the government determined to raise household incomes and reduce wealth disparities. Locating factories nearer to markets makes dollars and sense.
"Most of the villagers here think it's a good thing," said Meng, Xiangting, 46, a farmer prying stones from a wall with a crowbar for use on his own crumbling home. "They've guaranteed jobs for anyone in the area between 18 to 50 years of age. I'm not interested. I'd like to open a small shop for the workers instead."
With factories closer to home, children of farmers like Meng won't have to make the annual trek to distant coastal regions and live desultory lives as migrant workers in factory towns.
A rash of suicides at Foxconn's Shenzhen plant which the company said weren't work-related but which victims' families blamed on tough conditions, helped fuel a wave of labor unrest -- and has become yet another motivation to move operations into the less volatile interior.
Foxconn's move will touch off a mini-boom in an ancient Chinese capital perhaps best known for the 5th-century Shaolin temple that is home to its famous brand of Kung Fu.
Foxconn's suppliers will have to relocate as well. The workers will need housing and places to shop. Some may even be able to afford cars to commute to work on the new highways being built to Foxconn's mega-factory and its satellites.
A foreman supervising a team of men in straw hats working on a road linking to Zhengzhou's highways and the international airport said they had paved 4 km in three weeks. "Foxconn is amazing," he said. "They work extremely fast."
A lot of people are working fast in China's rapidly developing interior.
Manufacturers are building huge factories in the provinces to escape rising costs in the coastal zones that helped China become the world's largest exporter. Big customers such as Wal-Mart (WMT.N: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are buying more goods from the new inland factories in a relentless quest to find low-cost suppliers.
New high-speed rail links are shrinking distances for shuttling goods in and out of China's heartland.
The move inland by manufacturers coincides with a parallel trend in urbanization. Local governments are competing ferociously to build and expand cities on farmland to lure back millions of migrants from the coast in a project that could absorb more residents than the entire population of the United States in the coming decades.
The drive is part of a strategic economic shift to rebalance China's economy -- and by extension the rest of the world's -- to rely less on exports for future growth and more on domestic consumption. The Obama administration has been pressing China to do just that.
"Our lives will completely change," said Meng, the farmer. "Next August, they'll be able to bring in over 100,000 workers. With more people, there'll be more businesses."
While a smaller percentage of Chinese coastal manufacturers are moving operations offshore -- garments to Bangladesh, shoes to Vietnam, some experts see a more pronounced move inland.
A recent survey by Hong Kong's Trade Development Council of 2,400 manufacturers found a quarter would choose to set up new factories in inland China, twice that of those who would opt for cheaper alternatives in Asia. Around half said they would stay in China's coastal hubs.
China's industrial model has relied on efficient and nearby supply chains along with good transportation infrastructure that make it more efficient to keep operations onshore.
Factory production in China will continue to move to the interior, said Bruce Rockowitz, president of Li & Fung, one of the world's leading sourcing firms that caters to clients such as Wal-Mart. "That's the future, and maybe we'll get another 20 years out of that."
MASSIVE REDEPLOYMENT
Workers in Foxconn T-shirts, clocking in for the night shift along unlit paths at Foxconn's temporary plant near Zhengzhou, say they are part of the advance guard of what is expected to be a massive redeployment of the company's workforce.
The official Xinhua news agency reported recently that the Foxconn plant under construction would produce mainly Apple iPhones, generate more than $13 billion in annual exports and have a production capacity of 200,000 handsets a day.
Wei Wei, deputy director at Personnel Exchange Center, a major job recruitment center in Zhengzhou, said Foxconn had asked his firm to help recruit 100,000 workers within three months time in preparation for the first phase of the giant factory's expected opening next year.
Factories in coastal China, such as Foxconn's sprawling operations in Shenzen, have been powered by an army of 130 million or so migrant workers streaming in annually from inland Chinese provinces. They are not given permanent resident rights, however, and they often move on.
Labor shortages have begun to be a problem for these traditional export centers as the growth of the working-age population slows. Moreover, a younger generation of migrant workers, better educated, more tech-savvy, and less accepting than their parents were of life in the factories -- low pay, grueling hours and sometimes martial workplace rules -- have launched wildcat strikes and protests. Keywords: CHINA MANUFACTURING/
"To be very frank and open, I think we were caught by surprise by the structural changes in the worker composition," Louis Woo, special assistant to Terry Gou -- Foxconn's reclusive and enigmatic Taiwanese chief executive -- told reporters at a company-sponsored rally last week at its Shenzen plant.
"We haven't changed fast enough to meet the changing needs and new aspirations of this new generation of workers," said the silver-haired and rake-thin Woo, wearing blue suspenders and Prada glasses.
"China is changing and that's why Foxconn is also changing."
Recent strikes at Japanese car assembly plants in China, which resulted in a doubling of wages in some cases, have prompted other multinationals with intensive labor needs to seek a more stable and plentiful workforce inland.
"China has had a very unusual situation for a number of years with just this incredible supply of workers. That is now coming to an end," said Arthur Kroeber of Beijing-based consultancy Dragonomics, who says the number of young Chinese workers aged 15-24 years of age will likely fall by a third in the next 12 years, giving more bargaining power to this younger blue-collar generation.
Labor is plentiful in provinces such as Henan, China's most populous with over 100 million people -- more than the population of Germany.
At a recent Foxconn recruitment fair in Zhengzhou, thousands of hopefuls clamored for places, excited at the prospect of working for the Fortune 500 firm.
Already, a fifth of Foxconn's workers hail from Henan. By moving workers closer to their families it might help ease a problem that plagued the company during the first half of the year -- the dozen suicides mostly involving young workers leaping off buildings at its Shenzhen complex.
Zeng Jundan, one of the workers at Foxconn's temporary plant who previously worked for the company in Shenzhen, said he was happier. "It's not bad here -- my mom and dad can come see me every day if they want to," he said.
LURING A DRAGON HEAD
Like all manufacturers, Foxconn depends on a network of suppliers. Unlike others, Foxconn is big enough to force a new ecosystem to develop around it.
Jackie Ho, a Taiwanese industrialist making TV screens and mobile phone accessories in Luohe town, an hour's drive from Zhengzhou, said the new Foxconn facility would help foster fresh industrial clusters in Henan.
He is hoping to capitalize on what he terms the "Foxconn effect", along with other downstream suppliers that will likely migrate up from the Pearl River Delta.
"Most suppliers to Foxconn have no choice," Ho said. If Foxconn moves they have to follow or it will just buy from another factory. I believe that after two years Foxconn may not have to purchase and transport (its components) from the south anymore. Many firms will be here."
Foxconn is what some supply chain experts describe as a "dragon head" industry. It can nurture and sustain small- and medium-sized firms that otherwise wouldn't have the economies of scale or management mindset to move inland themselves.
"The key manufacturer is the dragon head, and there's always a supply ecosystem that goes along with it," said Edward Tse, the Greater China chairman of consultancy Booz & Co. and author of a book "The China Strategy" detailing the country's business landscape and how multinationals might capitalize.
"Without a dragonhead like Foxconn it's hard to get that kickstart," Tse said.
In several villages ringing Foxconn's Zhengzhou sites, red banners with pithy slogans were hung over roads and painted onto brick walls by local propaganda authorities, hailing the manufacturing giant as an economic savior.
"Welcome Foxconn. Swiftly move toward a well-off society" read one.
The government is clearly hoping that as companies and their "ecosystems" move to the countryside, more of China's 1.3 billion residents will progress from a life of subsistence to one of greater domestic and consumerist comforts in landlocked provinces, perhaps better described as mid-sized nations rather than regions.
"Manufacturing is something that a lot of local cities and regions can relate to because it's hard; people can see that in terms of the plants, the laborers, the products and so on," said Tse, who has advised multinationals on their China production and sourcing strategies.
"So a lot of inland areas see this as a natural area of growth. You need to find jobs for these people who've been urbanized, instead of them continuing to be peasants working on paddy fields. This is usually the first starting point like Shenzhen had done 20 years ago."
Government statistics show industrialization in inland provinces has outpaced established manufacturing hubs such as Guangdong in recent years.
The number of enterprises with annual revenues of over five million yuan ($736,000) in Guangdong province near Hong Kong grew by an average of some 24 percent in 2008 to 52,574 firms. The same figures for Henan were 38 percent and 18, 700 firms. The year before it had only been 13.6 percent.
INLAND CONSUMER CLASS
On the green northern rim of Guangdong, beyond the mountains and into the land-locked region of Ganzhou in Jiangxi province, LED factory owner Kong Xiangzhong is one of the new breed of industrialists who have staked a future away from the cluttered expensive coastal manufacturing regions of China.
A minnow compared with Foxconn with around 100 workers, Kong has nevertheless positioned his inland factory as a potential gateway to the mainland China market, spurning the usual export track. Almost all his energy-efficient LED lighting products will be trucked and sold entirely within China from Ganzhou.
"For us factories doing domestic demand, we hope that we can expand everywhere in China, to the west, the center and the east," said Kong, a self-made businessman who started out as a production line worker in a Guangdong factory nearly 20 years ago.
Around 400 km (250 miles) north of the Pearl River Delta, Ganzhou sits at the crossroads of three of southern China's most economically vibrant provinces; Guangdong, Fujian and Hunan. Besides its relative coastal proximity, Ganzhou's surrounding counties are home to nearly 8 million residents with minimum wage levels around 40 percent cheaper than in Guangdong, making it a natural manufacturing spillover region for factories from the Pearl River Delta.
"The geographic location is good here," said Kong, who recently set up his LED lights factory in Ganzhou. "We can get to the Yantian port (in Shenzhen) for shipping in about four hours. It's also quite close to Shanghai," added Kong, speaking slightly accented Mandarin Chinese in a sign of his provincial roots.
Like many ambitious inland areas, Ganzhou has invested millions in new infrastructure, including a new airport, highways and railways to bolster the transport and logistics infrastructure so crucial to businesses. Keywords: CHINA MANUFACTURING/
This region, too, has attracted a dragon head company -- Nasdaq-listed contract manufacturer Flextronics (FLEX.O: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz). It will soon open a factory employing 11,000 in one of Ganzhou's new industrial estates to make transformers and power adaptors.
Rob Roohparvar, president of the Flextronics unit running the plant, estimates costs will be at least 10 to 15 percent cheaper in Ganzhou than the southern coast where the conglomerate and key rival of Foxconn runs its flagship China facility.
In the next five years, Zeng Weilin, vice director of the Ganzhou Development Zone, expects the region's GDP to quadruple and the number of factories to rise from 300 to over a thousand. Focusing on domestic buyers can help producers mitigate another risk: the appreciating yuan.
"The exchange rate has no effect on us, because our main market is 100 percent focused in mainland China," said Simon Lu Xingping, the head of Maniform, a fast-growing Chinese lingerie manufacturer headquartered in Shenzhen, which is building a 6,000-worker factory in Ganzhou.
Maniform is one of a batch of emerging Chinese manufacturers that started off as exporters or producers for overseas brands, picking up skills and know-how until they reached a point where they felt they could develop a brand themselves.
These Chinese competitors, often nimbler, highly entrepreneurial and more flexible than multinationals, have almost all targeted their lucrative home markets and have begun to set up vast retail networks and factories across the country.
Notable examples include those in the sportswear industry including Li Ning (2331.HK: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), Anta (2020.HK: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) and Hongxing Sports (CHXS.SI: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz). Global brands like Spanish clothing giant Zara (ITX.MC: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) -- famed for the success of its rapid product development cycles -- and sportswear firm Puma (PUMD.L: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) are reportedly planning huge expansion plans to target China's future middle class consumers.
"The internal business of consumption is competing now with the export business for space, for people, and it's driving the costs up in China. So that party (of cheap labor and exports) that we've had in the last 15 years is going away," said Rockowitz of Li & Fung.
POOR INFRASTRUCTURE
But challenges loom for those moving to inland China.
Yifan Hu, chief global economist at Citic Securities, said the inland business environment is hampered by poor infrastructure, high transportation costs and a lack of developed free markets.
Ho, the Henan factory owner is critical of inconsistent and discretionary government policies that make it difficult for businessmen to map out longer term strategies and commit investment to the region, particularly smaller firms without the clout of a Foxconn.
"The legal environment isn't so good and everything is decided face to face with officials. You don't really know what you're getting. Their (preferential) policies need more clarity," Ho said.
Ho's transportation costs are almost double those in the Pearl River Delta, with the nearest port being the Lianyun port in Jiangsu province, almost 600 km (375 miles) away. Still, he says, transportation costs now only make up around 3.5 percent of his overall production costs so it's still manageable.
"There will be some shifting of products away from southern China to both the interior of China and outside of China," said Henry Tan, the CEO of Luen Thai Holdings, one of Hong Kong's largest listed textiles groups.
"However there will still be a portion of products that stay in the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta, purely because of the convenience of supply chains, because all the fabrics, all the trims, all the development are there."
The waning of government stimulus efforts, which have done much to spur growth in China's rural areas over the past year or so, could also hamper the move inland. Local governments with shrinking budgets have less scope to scatter sweeteners to attract industry, Hu said.
Zhengzhou like other cities borrowed heavily to bankroll a blitz of marquee infrastructure projects, such as a new convention center, renovation of the business district and high-end property developments.
China's switch to a domestic consumption model will take time, even as exports contribute less and less to China's GDP -- now around 10 percent, Hu estimates.
"Some people think exports will not be the driver of China's economy in the future. I agree," Hu said. "But China's exports are still very strong, accounting for 20 percent of the world's exports. The share may remain the same but the growth may decline." She said the export sector's real contribution was to employment, rather than economic growth.
"No matter if it's high value-added or low-value-added they have to recruit more people … so as exports slow down I think the employment issue will really become quite intensive, maybe in the next one to three years, before they really transform to a domestic consumption-oriented economy."
'TREASURE LIFE'
Back at Foxconn's headquarters in the Shenzhen district of Longhua on a late sunny afternoon last week, tens of thousands of young workers cast off their uniforms and inhibitions, put on costumes, glitzy bikinis and bright wigs for the company-sponsored "Treasure Life" celebration.
At the rally, aimed at mending the company's image and improving worker morale after the suicides, Foxconn unveiled the "transformation" of its human resources management and new industrial strategy in China.
Hosting reporters for a rare visit inside the factory, Woo said the usually secretive Foxconn would now "open up". As China's largest employer, Woo said he hoped this new approach to Chinese industrial management would influence other firms.
Besides pledging to improve the lives of its workers through measures including wage hikes, capping overtime work at 36 hours a month from 80 and setting up 24-hour counseling services, Woo said the future for Foxconn lay in moving its factories closer to China's workers.
"We want to take out the 'migrant' from migrant worker," he said. Besides its Henan plant, Foxconn is also building new factories in Chengdu and Chongqing in Sichuan province, while it is negotiating with several other Chinese provinces about building other industrial campuses.
As the workers wended their way through the 3.3 square kilometer Longhua industrial fortress that pioneered the manufacture of some of Apple's iPhones and iPods, there was the sense of an era coming to an end.
The self-contained industrial city with its banks, bakeries, post offices, restaurants, shops, parks and dormitories catering to more than a quarter of a million workers, will eventually evolve into a higher-end research and development campus.
"Shenzhen will have more engineers than (production) line workers" in the future, said Woo, a development resonating with Shenzhen's overall economic blueprint to upgrade its industrial base and move up the value-added chain.
Some workers in the crowd that gathered for an open-air concert on a large artificial grass sports ground spoke of new hope for the future -- away from the coast.
"Everyone's talking about the new factories. If they move, I definitely want to move with them," said Yang Ning, a chirpy 22-year-old factory girl from Chongqing, one of the sites of a new Foxconn factory.
"Life here in the Pearl River Delta has been tough," she added as workers chanted effusively behind her. "I'll be glad to leave".
(Editing by Bill Tarrant)
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Special report: World's workshop heads to inland China | Reuters

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